Global Macro Update: Gold - EURUSD - Euro Stoxx 50 - 10Y Bund

Trend Channel Upper line shows 1645 as a potential target. First Support lies at the 1578 previous High in confluence with the 20-Day SMA.

EURUSD is trading right on the middle ground of the recent 1.40 - 1.46 range Supported by the converging 20 & 72-Day SMAs. Downside the 200-Day SMA holds the key at the major psychological 1.4 level.

DJ Euro Stoxx 50 Index is trending down with scope of 2599 Lower Channel trendline.

10-Year German Bund is trending up amid growing economic concerns and US and EZ Periphery Debt problems. Previous High at 131 is an obvious target for the current directional move.

BOVESPA - Brazilian Equities in a Downtrend

Downtrend target for BOVESPA > 58000 where previous Low should act as Support.

Vale is sitting on the 20 Day SMA and 32.02 looks as short-term target where the 200-Day SMA lies.

Petrobras hits Resistance at 35.19 and goes back to base around 33 and 33.65 where the 20-Day SMA would provide Support.

ITAU Bank trend down the channel with a target at 18.85 - a confluence of old Lows and the 200 -Week SMA Support.

Markets Bounce in the current donwtrend

Sell in May and Go Away?

S&P broke important support and technicals already signal a reversal - at least in the short term. A move below the 50-Day MA will accelerate the move.

Silver is breaking painfully down towards the important area of support around 30-34 levels.

Looks like a bubble unwinding but let's see what the end of QE2 brings as inflation is still not on the radar of CBers.

As indicated in the previous Global Macro update, Copper is moving toward 408-410 area which is a 'make or break level'. Below it the 200-Day MA will hold the move, however we might see a major exodus out of commodities once a snowball effect takes place as too many players jumped on the bandwagon of the inflation theme and maybe overstayed their welcome. Let's see how Copper will trade at the 400 level.

QE2 seems to come to an end and yet again deflationary fears are rising.

Rates are dipping down towards the 3.2% Support and if broken they will target again below 3%.

Are you ready for a bounce?

It is always important to wait for a confirmation and not jump in anticipation so I'm just making this observation that the trend is already overextended and technicals are in Oversold conditions for quite some time so a reversal is highly probable. When, how much, and whether it will be a Major reversal is to be seen.

Global Macro Update - Asset classes consolidate after the recent moves

10-Year USTs need to fill the Gap and break out of the current ranges to initiate a decisive trend. Until ranges hold I remain cautiously monitoring the price action ahead of the end oof QE2.

Copper is consolidating inside a tight range and looks like a Descending Triangle is in the making.

It is a bit early to call a breakdown, however if we see a close below 407, Copper should slide to the next support at ~360.

On the upside the Major trendline (RED) is the important Resistance guide to price action.

Gold seems weary of the slow grinding higher and at a trendline Resistance with technicals screaming for a pullback if not Reversal.

Silver produced a large DOJI. Could be a blow-off top of just a temporary indecision.

Next Support comes around 42 and then will see which one is the case.

S&P 500 coils higher on low volume.

USD is trending inside the down channel.

Compalcency rules the market.

Inflation talk > Major Assets Performance since Jan 2008

EUR/USD Trend Channel suggests a move above 1.45

A simple 4H chart suggest we see some more filling the 1.44-45 range before a continuation along the trend above 1.45. My guess is the large intra-day swings we saw in the recent days were meant to shake off the weak longs and get more small fish that shorted on the move below 1.4450 on the boat before the true move above 1.45 starts.