Tampilkan postingan dengan label ETFs. Tampilkan semua postingan
Tampilkan postingan dengan label ETFs. Tampilkan semua postingan

Selasa, 21 Desember 2010

AMGN, Biotech firms and ETF are very Bullish


AMGN broke out above 50 & 200-Day MAs on large Volume and is heading into a solid Resistance area around 58.

Biotech ETFs are very Bullish breaking above previous Resistance levels.


The relative performance charts of AMGN to the other S&P500 Biotech constituents is pointing to Outperformers: LIFE, GENZ & BIIB.

CELG & AMGN will have to overcome strong Resistance levels and GILD is clearly struggling.

Rabu, 17 Februari 2010

Markets in a state of Trend - ETF snapshot

Crude oil spikes higher above the 50-DMA and the current range bound trading prevails.
Looking at the futures if we take out $78 then $84 comes in focus - the bounce off $70 level was quick and it leaves me watching the price asking myself if this is the next leg up or squeezing the weak shorts.


iShares iBoxx $ Invest Grade Corp Bond - Yields are historically low and the Diamond top pattern confirms in my view a possible selloff in corporate bonds. At some point bond vigilantes will come out and start punishing the bond issuers for the huge debt accrued and for the low returns on its unproportionate risk.


SPDR Barclays Capital High Yield Bond - Junk bonds broke the uptrend and I assume it confirms the scenario of rising yields already starting to happen.




US Treasury bonds are trending down - another confirmation that the inflationary trade and rising yields is actually in progress.




PowerShares DB Agriculture - it looks like an equilibrium right at the 200-DMA and a the center of the range channel. Let's see if 50-DMA holds but still we need to break away from this channel for any meaningful trend to be confirmed.



Silver is developing a large symmetrical triangle pattern. The bounce higher will meet the tough resistance at $16.



Gold uptrend hasn't been damaged so far by the liquidations in the last 2 weeks. The Bullish wedge confirms continuation so far.


ELEMENTS Rogers Intl Commodity Metal ETN - 50-DMA is pivotal to the present development. So far the 200-DMA held the plunge and I'd like to see how Metals will fare around the present resistance level.



S&P - "keep doing until no longer works"?


Just ow resilient are the Emerging Markets to the local financial crises like Dubai and Greece? Keeping the uptrend intact and developing into expanding triangle EEM will also need to take out the 50-DMA to keep its move. A failure puts again the 200-DMA support in focus.


US Dollar is correcting but uptrend is still intact.




Kamis, 18 Juni 2009

Emerging Markets & Emerging Europe trends break down


Emerging Markets brkoe down the trend channel and are targeting the 55-DMA at 30.31.
Upside is capped by the 21-DMA at 32.86 and it should serve a good R?R Stop-loss level for a short trade looking for a test of the 200-DMA at 26.60.

RSI & ADX both are confirming the downtrend direction and strength.
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Emerging Europe is the next best thing to watch as a proxy to the sentiment of the Bulgarian Stock Exchange-Sofia.

The obvious breakdown of the trend channel match the Emering Markets technical view with supports and targets at the 55 and 200-DMAs (30.47 and 27.94). The short sell trade has a risk of reversal to the long side at the 21-DMA which negates the bearish view.

RSI and ADX are both clearly showing there is a downtrend in progress at present so we stick with he short side until there a divergence is observed.